RateLedger

Current mortgage rates 2026: what to expect

By Editorial team · 2026-06-17

In short: As of June 18, 2026, the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.47% and the 15-year fixed 5.81%, both down from a year earlier (6.81% and 5.96%). Rates track the 10-year Treasury plus a lender spread, not the Fed funds rate directly. They remain far above the sub-3% lows of 2021, which keeps refinancing muted.

Mortgage rates set the monthly cost of buying a home, and in 2026 they remain the single biggest affordability factor. Here’s where they stand, from the most-cited benchmark.

Dated snapshot, not a quote. The figures below are the Freddie Mac PMMS weekly averages as of June 18, 2026. Rates change weekly — check the official PMMS and a lender’s Loan Estimate for your personal rate. This is informational only.

Where rates sit

Loan termThis week (Jun 18, 2026)Year ago
30-year fixed6.47%6.81%
15-year fixed5.81%5.96%

Both are down year-over-year, continuing a gradual drift lower — but they are still roughly double the sub-3% lows of 2021. See the live numbers and context on the rates page.

Why rates are where they are

Fixed mortgage rates track the 10-year US Treasury yield plus a spread that lenders and bond investors add for risk and profit. That’s why:

We explain this in what is mortgage rate spread?.

What it means for buyers

At 6.47%, the monthly payment on a $320,000 loan over 30 years is far higher than it would have been in 2021 — which is why refinancing has stayed muted: only about 24% of 2023 originations were refinances. Most activity is purchase loans from buyers who need to move regardless of rate.

Run your own numbers on the mortgage calculator, pre-filled with today’s 6.47% average, to see the payment for a given price and down payment — or work backward from a monthly budget.

Sources

Rates are from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS), captured as a dated snapshot. Origination figures are from the HMDA Data Browser (2023). See our methodology.

Frequently asked questions

What is the current 30-year mortgage rate?

As of June 18, 2026, the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.47%, down from 6.81% a year earlier. The 15-year fixed averaged 5.81%.

Will mortgage rates go down in 2026?

Rates have drifted lower through mid-2026 but remain well above the 2021 lows. Their path depends on the 10-year Treasury yield and the lender spread, which respond to inflation and growth expectations rather than to any single Fed meeting.

Why are mortgage rates higher than the Fed funds rate?

Thirty-year mortgages price off long-term bonds, not the Fed's short-term rate. The mortgage rate equals the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread for credit, servicing and prepayment risk.

Last updated: 2026-06-17